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Paxtons No1 Caseih Dealer Handicap Steeple Chase (Go North Monet's Garden Series Qualifier) (GBB Race)

15:15 Sedgefield Tue 29 Sep 2026 2m5f28y Class 4 Good 4 runners

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Mr Fox’s call

Passengerontheship silks

Passengerontheship

SPECULATIVE Advised 2/1 Est. 38%

🥈 2ND

Mr Fox says

Passengerontheship (SR 106, 2/1) carries top-weight at 12-0 but holds the decisive edge on both DistFit:+ and GoingFit:+ — the only runner proven at this distance and on good ground. The recent form string 111572 shows three consecutive wins in the sequence before a blip, and with Sam England running his own horse (trainer-jockey combination), there is tight yard control. The 21% market drift is the one concern, but in a four-runner field with no credible rival combining both distance and going fitness, this drift is more likely a trading artefact than a genuine negative signal. The weight burden of 12-0 is real but the class (4, £4,700) is modest enough that SR 106 comfortably handles it. Each-way alternative: Thank You Blue. Main danger: Thank You Blue — Thank You Blue (SR 113, 7/4) is the highest-rated runner in the field, has outstanding course form (W3P5), a 6% market move in, and carries only 11-11 — a 3lb advantage over Passengerontheship — though GoingFit:- and DistFit:- are genuine doubts that prevent it being the primary pick.

Verify· #20443

Full result

Winner: Tanking Along (IRE) at SP 3/1. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.

  1. 1 Tanking Along silks Tanking Along Fox #3 Patrick Neville · Brian Hughes 7/2
  2. 2 Passengerontheship silks Passengerontheship Fox #1 Sam England · Jonathan England 13/8
  3. 3 Four Decades silks Four Decades Tom Ellis · Jack Andrews 7/1
  4. — Thank You Blue silks Thank You Blue Fox #2 Jennie Candlish · I. J. Power 2/1

Top 4 — how each finished

  1. 1 Passengerontheship silks Passengerontheship 2/1 🥈 2ND
  2. 2 Thank You Blue silks Thank You Blue 7/4
  3. 3 Tanking Along silks Tanking Along 11/4 SP 3/1 🏆 WON