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Happy 96th Birthday John Conditional Jockeys' Handicap Hurdle Race (Go North Sea Pigeon Series Qualifier)
Mr Fox’s call
Spartan Times
SPECULATIVE Advised 7/4 Est. 35%
Mr Fox says
Spartan Times (SR 95, 7/4) is the class leader in this field and has been heavily backed — a 21% market move in is the strongest support signal on the card, taking it from an opening price to a very firm favourite. Wgt:12-0 is a burden but the SR advantage over the next-best Jolie Coeur Allen (SR 94) and Cawthorne Cracker (SR 86) is meaningful enough to absorb it. DistFit:+ confirms proven ability at this trip, and trainer Jennie Candlish (17%) with conditional jockey Luke Scott (16%) is a competent pairing. The MarkMv:+5 is a mild concern — running off a higher mark than last win — but the market clearly disagrees that it matters. Each-way alternative: Jolie Coeur Allen. Main danger: Jolie Coeur Allen — Jolie Coeur Allen (SR 94, 4/1) drops a class (ClassMv:↓1), runs off a mark 5lb lower than last win (MarkMv:-5), brings excellent course form (W1P3 at Sedgefield), and has slight market support (in 6%) — a horse with every structural advantage bar the weight and SR.
Full result
Winner: Made All (GB) at SP 6/1. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.
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1
Made All 13/2
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2
Cawthorne Cracker Fox #3 10/3
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3
Jolie Coeur Allen Fox #2 7/2
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4
Langton Wold 14/1
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5
Spartan Times Fox #1 15/8
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6
Mr Globalist 20/1
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—
Alibey 10/1
Top 4 — how each finished
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1
Spartan Times 7/4 5TH
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2
Jolie Coeur Allen 4/1 🥉 3RD
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3
Cawthorne Cracker 3/1 🥈 2ND