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Carbonnetzero Handicap Stakes (Arab Race)
Mr Fox’s call
Jeewan
SPECULATIVE Advised 7/4 SP 7/4 Est. 32%
Mr Fox says
Jeewan (SR:151, 7/4) carries the highest SR in the field and has a 6lb weight advantage over top-rated Izenterisky (A) (SR:148, 10-0 vs 9-6), which on Good ground is a meaningful physical edge. The market has shortened 10% on Jeewan — mirroring identical support on Izenterisky — but Jeewan's SR superiority combined with the favourable weight makes it the more compelling case. George Bass at 12% strike rate is a solid booking, and the blinkers application (HG:b) suggests connections are sharpening the horse for a decisive effort. The recent form string 1-5532 shows a win last season and a run of placed/close finishes consistent with a competitive Arab racer still capable of winning. Each-way alternative: Pharitz Lahia. Main danger: Izenterisky (A) — Izenterisky (A) (SR:148, 15/8) has identical market support (Mkt:in10%) and carries Dougie Costello who strikes at 10% from 868 rides — the Collington yard's declared #1 runner and the short-priced market leader who could easily dominate if the stable has targeted this race.
Full result
Winner: Jeewan (A) (A) at SP 7/4. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.
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1
Jeewan Fox #1 7/4
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2
Zayin Sentinel 17/2
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3
Izenterisky (A) Fox #2 15/8
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4
Pharitz Lahia Fox #3 5/1
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5
Sassy 16/1
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6
Zayin Zikario 15/2
Top 4 — how each finished
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1
Jeewan 7/4 SP 7/4 🏆 WON
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2
Izenterisky (A) 15/8 🥉 3RD
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3
Pharitz Lahia 5/1 🏁 4TH