← Honest Record · Pick Winner · Mr Fox
Clyde And Co Handicap Stakes (Div II)
Mr Fox’s call
HK Fourteen
SPECULATIVE Advised 10/3 Est. 28%
Mr Fox says
HK Fourteen (SR:75, 10/3) has steamed in 52% from opening price — the most dramatic market move in the field and a strong signal of stable/market confidence. The drop of one class (ClassMv:↓1) and a 3lb lower mark than last win (MarkMv:-3) are textbook handicapper's favour, and 9-10 is a competitive weight that gives him a clear edge over topweight Charlie Boyo (9-12, SR:79 but drifting 8%). Two course wins and two places at Bath (Course:W2P2) is the best course record in the field, and DistFit:~ confirms he handles this 5f160y trip. The going is GoingFit:~ which is acceptable, and the class relief combined with market support makes this the clearest multi-signal case on the card. Each-way alternative: Moe's Legacy. Main danger: Charlie Boyo — Charlie Boyo (SR:79, the highest in the field) carries top-weight 9-12 but has Clive Cox and Rossa Ryan on board with a GoingFit:+ on today's ground and recent form showing a C+D win in his sequence — if the drift of 8% is simply a weight-related price adjustment rather than a negative signal, his raw SR superiority over HK Fourteen could tell.
Full result
Winner: Moe's Legacy (GB) at SP 4/1. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.
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1
Moe's Legacy Fox #3 4/1
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2
Monsieur Patat 11/2
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3
Charlie Boyo Fox #2 3/1
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4
Savannah Smiles 40/1
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5
HK Fourteen Fox #1 7/2
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6
Level Up Fox #4 15/2
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7
Nuevo Slovo 22/1
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8
Army Bugler 9/1
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9
Guilty Verdict 16/1
Top 4 — how each finished
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1
HK Fourteen 10/3 5TH
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2
Charlie Boyo 3/1 🥉 3RD
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3
Moe's Legacy 9/2 SP 4/1 🏆 WON
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4
Level Up 17/2 6TH