← Honest Record · Pick Winner · Mr Fox
Sw Hire Handicap Stakes
Mr Fox’s call
Maharajas Express
SPECULATIVE Advised 4/1 Est. 24%
Mr Fox says
Maharajas Express (SR:82, 4/1, 9-5) carries the lightest weight among the two highest-rated horses and brings a strong recent form line of 618221 — two consecutive wins — at Class 4 level (ClassMv:=), meaning he faces exactly the same tier he has been winning in. Course form of W1P2 at Bath is a meaningful positive on a specialist track, and jockey David Probert's 13% career strike rate from 2,328 rides is a reliable booking. The market drift of 15% is a mild concern, but the weight advantage over South Shore (9-8 vs 9-5, a 3lb edge) and the proven ability over the top-rated rival on a mark 5lb lower than his last win (MarkMv:+4) still presents a compelling case. South Shore's DistFit:- at this trip and the class rise (↑1) make Maharajas Express the more dependable option at a workable price. Each-way alternative: Aces Wild. Main danger: South Shore — South Shore carries the highest SR in the field (84) with a strong 112221 form line and Tom Marquand in the saddle, and while the class rise and DistFit:- are real concerns, raw ability can overcome a trip query in a sprint if the pace sets up right.
Full result
Winner: Forager (GB) at SP 18/1. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.
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1
Forager 16/1
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2
South Shore Fox #2 3/1
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3
Toolatetonegotiate 17/2
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4
Correspondence 14/1
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5
Brave Nation 11/1
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6
Jax Edge Fox #4 6/1
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7
Aces Wild Fox #3 12/1
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8
Maharajas Express Fox #1 4/1
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9
Coyy 10/1
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10
Carefree Dream 16/1
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11
Kodicall 40/1
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12
Alondra 9/1
Top 4 — how each finished
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1
Maharajas Express 4/1 8TH
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2
South Shore 11/4 🥈 2ND
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3
Aces Wild 11/1 7TH
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4
Jax Edge 13/2 6TH