← Honest Record · Pick Winner · Mr Fox
Ael Solutions Handicap Stakes
Mr Fox’s call
Buckland Belle
MEDIUM Advised 13/8 Est. 38%
Mr Fox says
Buckland Belle (SR:80, 13/8) is the standout performer in this field by a clear margin — the next-best SR is 71 (Rating), and she carries only 9-8 despite that superiority. Her form reads 213212, showing relentless consistency, and critically she ticks every key box: DistFit:+ confirms she handles this mile trip, GoingFit:+ confirms she handles good to firm, and Course:W1P1 shows she already knows Bath. Running off MarkMv:+3 is a minor concern but her SR comfortably absorbs it. Tom Marquand (16% career SR) is the highest-profile jockey booking in the race, and Ollie Sangster at 14% strike rate is a yard in solid form. The 13/8 price is short but structurally justified — no comparable rival can match the combination of ability, proven course-and-distance suitability, and trainer-jockey quality. Each-way alternative: Rating. Main danger: Chilly Breeze — Chilly Breeze's 56% market move is the loudest stable-money signal in the race, De Sousa is a top-tier booking, and a drop in class (↓1) could unlock the form — if the DistFit:- proves misleading, she is the most dangerous price in the field at 13/2.
Full result
Winner: Chilly Breeze (GB) at SP 17/2. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.
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1
Chilly Breeze Fox #4 7/1
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2
Rating Fox #2 9/2
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3
Amarachi Fox #3 4/1
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4
Blue Hero 14/1
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5
Thiscouldbefun 20/1
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6
Fizzy Bear 9/1
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7
Buckland Belle Fox #1 15/8
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8
Havana Club 28/1
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9
Dappled Light 16/1
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10
Man From Havana 50/1
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11
Denby's Dream 18/1
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12
Afta Party 80/1
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—
Mayberry Moon 50/1
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—
Exotic Baby 33/1
Top 4 — how each finished
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1
Buckland Belle 13/8 7TH
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2
Rating 5/1 🥈 2ND
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3
Amarachi 9/2 🥉 3RD
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4
Chilly Breeze 13/2 SP 17/2 🏆 WON