← Honest Record · Pick Winner · Mr Fox
Irish Stallion Farms EBF Mares Handicap Steeplechase
Mr Fox’s call
Ladies Well
SPECULATIVE Advised 10/3 SP 7/2 Est. 30%
Mr Fox says
Ladies Well (SR:102, 10/3, Wgt:10-8) is the second-highest rated horse in the field and carries a weight advantage over Jolie Jewel (SR:105, 11-8) — a 14lb pull that more than compensates for the 3-point SR difference. Crucially, Ladies Well has steamed in the market by 13%, signalling informed money, while Jolie Jewel has drifted 11% — the market is actively switching between the two top-rated runners and landing on Ladies Well. GoingFit:+ confirms she handles today's good ground, her recent form 2U1214 shows consistent competitiveness including a win last time out (form read right-to-left: 4th most recent, then 1st, 2nd, U, 2nd), and at just 6 years old she is the youngest and likely most progressive runner in the field. A. Slattery's 11% strike rate and the market support together make this a compelling case. Each-way alternative: Miss Lia. Main danger: Jolie Jewel — Jolie Jewel holds the highest SR in the field at 105 and a recent form line of 3263 shows consistent placing — if the drift is simply market noise rather than a genuine negative signal, her rating edge could tell over this trip.
Full result
Winner: Ladies Well (IRE) at SP 7/2. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.
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1
Ladies Well Fox #1 3/1
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2
Jolie Jewel Fox #2 7/2
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3
Chosen Shant 17/2
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4
Bynx 22/1
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5
Miss Lia Fox #3 11/4
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6
Shannon Bank Fox #4 10/1
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7
Nastya 12/1
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—
Beauforts Storm 25/1
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Neon Diamond 33/1
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Ad Caelum 11/1
Top 4 — how each finished
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1
Ladies Well 10/3 SP 7/2 🏆 WON
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2
Jolie Jewel 5/2 🥈 2ND
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3
Miss Lia 7/1 5TH
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4
Shannon Bank 11/1 6TH