← Honest Record · Pick Winner · Mr Fox
Coors Fillies Handicap
Mr Fox’s call
Lady Plimsoll
SPECULATIVE Advised 9/2 Est. 28%
Mr Fox says
Lady Plimsoll (SR:82, 9/2) carries the lightest weight in the competitive range at 9-0 and has been backed in 25% since opening, the strongest market move in the field after Just Keep Flying. Her form string -33222 shows consistent placing at this class and DistFit:+ confirms she handles 1m4f-range trips, the most important credential in this longer-distance fillies' handicap. The 5lb mark rise (MarkMv:+5) is manageable given her consistency, and trainer M D O'Callaghan's 12% strike rate is solid. Nellcote is the danger as the highest SR in the field (88) on featherweight (9-3) but the market drift of 6% and unproven distance (DistFit:?) are concerns over this extended trip. Each-way alternative: Stellar Moment. Main danger: Nellcote — Nellcote carries the highest SR in the field (88) on the lightest weight of the main contenders (9-3) and is trained by the in-form Joseph Patrick O'Brien yard at 16% — if she gets the trip at DistFit:?, she wins.
Full result
Winner: Nellcote (IRE) at SP 7/2. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.
-
1
Nellcote Fox #2 3/1
-
2
Vanir 17/2
-
3
Ankara 16/1
-
4
Stellar Moment Fox #3 5/1
-
5
Denim And Diamonds 9/1
-
6
Navy Waters 11/2
-
7
Narlita 18/1
-
8
Lady Plimsoll Fox #1 9/2
-
9
Just Keep Flying Fox #4 11/1
-
10
Tatum 16/1
Top 4 — how each finished
-
1
Lady Plimsoll 9/2 8TH
-
2
Nellcote 3/1 SP 7/2 🏆 WON
-
3
Stellar Moment 11/2 🏁 4TH
-
4
Just Keep Flying 8/1 9TH