← Honest Record · Pick Winner · Mr Fox
Phoenix Drilling Ground Investigation Handicap Stakes
Mr Fox’s call
Roach Power
SPECULATIVE Advised 15/8 Est. 32%
Mr Fox says
Roach Power (SR 68, 15/8) has steamed in 35% since opening, the single strongest market signal in the field, and connections have clearly identified this as a live opportunity. Dropping three class tiers on a mark 9lb lower than last win gives a significant handicap edge, and Paul Mulrennan (14% career strike rate, 2,414 rides — serious book) takes the ride. The DistFit:~ and GoingFit:~ are mild concerns on soft ground over this trip, but the class drop to Class 5 off a materially reduced mark, combined with the aggressive market move, outweighs those reservations. The SR 68 leads the field narrowly and the combination of class relief, weight off and market conviction makes this the standout selection. Each-way alternative: Great Profit. Main danger: Great Profit — Great Profit (SR 74, 9/2) is the highest-rated horse in the field, has steamed in 46% — the biggest market move of all — and a form string of 222130 shows consistent involvement, with the '1' just two runs ago suggesting a winning performance at this level is within reach.
Full result
Winner: Great Profit (IRE) at SP 8/1. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.
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1
Great Profit Fox #2 5/1
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2
Solid Bond 12/1
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3
Impressor 15/2
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4
Thunderstorm Katie Fox #3 6/1
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5
Roach Power Fox #1 15/8
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6
Supremissy 10/1
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7
Never Dark 11/1
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8
Vince L'Amour 15/2
Top 4 — how each finished
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1
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2
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3