← Honest Record · Pick Winner · Mr Fox
Clearwater Dc Ltd Environmental Solutions Amateur Jockeys' Handicap Stakes
Mr Fox’s call
Annie Edson Taylor
SPECULATIVE Advised 11/8 Est. 38%
Mr Fox says
Annie Edson Taylor (SR:82, 11/8) is the class leader by a clear margin in a shallow field — 8 SR points clear of the next-best Bay Breeze. The Course:W3P4 record at Hamilton is exceptional and is the single most compelling data point in this race: no other runner comes close to that course mastery. The drop in class (ClassMv:↓1) combined with a stable mark (MarkMv:=) means she meets this field in ideal conditions, and the last run (form string rightmost = 1) confirms she arrives off a win. Top-weight of 11-5 on soft is a concern, but the SR advantage and Hamilton course record outweigh that penalty in a six-runner Class 5 sprint. Each-way alternative: Bay Breeze. Main danger: Bay Breeze — Bay Breeze (SR:74, 7/2) carries the lightest weight in the shortlist at 10-9, has a GoingFit:+ confirming she handles soft ground — the one going advantage no other contender can match — and her Course:W1P3 record shows she runs well at Hamilton.
Full result
Winner: Bay Breeze (GB) at SP 11/4. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.
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1
Bay Breeze Fox #2 4/1
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2
Annie Edson Taylor Fox #1 11/8
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3
Lumenbourg Fox #3 5/1
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4
Maldevious 7/1
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5
Punchbowl Flyer 14/1
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6
Thistle Nil 15/2
Top 4 — how each finished
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1
Annie Edson Taylor 11/8 🥈 2ND
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2
Bay Breeze 7/2 SP 11/4 🏆 WON
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3
Lumenbourg 9/2 🥉 3RD