← Honest Record · Pick Winner · Mr Fox
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Mr Fox’s call
Candy Warhol
SPECULATIVE Advised 7/2 Est. 30%
Mr Fox says
Candy Warhol (SR:65, 7/2) combines the joint-highest SR in the field with confirmed good-to-firm going fitness (GoingFit:+), a favourable mark 5lb below last win (MarkMv:-5), and the most compelling market signal in the race — steaming in 27% from its opening price. Carrying just 9-3 gives it a 6lb weight advantage over Macanudo (SR:68, 9-9) and a real lbs edge on the top of the market. Course form (W0P2 at Brighton) adds further confidence this track suits. The moderate trainer strike rate (7%) is the one counterweight, but the apprentice Howarth (9%) is consistent and the money is firmly on. Each-way alternative: My Mate Mackley. Main danger: My Mate Mackley — My Mate Mackley (SR:65, 11/4) shares the joint-highest SR, carries the lightest weight in the shortlist at 9-0, has confirmed distance fitness (DistFit:+), and is the market favourite — trainer Adam Kirby at 10% with an apprentice booking at 10% represents solid connections, and running just 6 days ago suggests peak freshness rather than staleness.
Full result
Winner: My Mate Mackley (GB) at SP 15/8F. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.
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1
My Mate Mackley Fox #2 5/2
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2
Candy Warhol Fox #1 4/1
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3
Macanudo Fox #3 10/3
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4
Port Hedland 13/2
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5
Nordic Glory Fox #4 13/2
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6
Lynwood Lad 22/1
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7
Daley T 40/1
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8
Pure Passion 10/1
Top 4 — how each finished
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1
Candy Warhol 7/2 🥈 2ND
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2
My Mate Mackley 11/4 SP 15/8F 🏆 WON
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3
Macanudo 3/1 🥉 3RD
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4
Nordic Glory 7/1 5TH