← Honest Record · Pick Winner · Mr Fox
Kwiff Supercharged Joe McGrath Handicap
Mr Fox’s call
Red Evolution
SPECULATIVE Advised 9/2 SP 100/30 Est. 28%
Mr Fox says
Red Evolution (SR:94, 9/2) holds the highest Saturday Rating in the field and is the most progressive runner here — form reading right-to-left shows a recent second last time out after a seventh and a fourth, suggesting a clear upward trajectory. Crucially, the market has shortened 22% since opening (Mkt:in22%), the strongest steaming signal in the race, indicating significant professional support at 9/2. Carrying just 9-0, it enjoys a meaningful weight advantage over the heavier-weighted rivals — 7lb less than Keke (9-9) and 5lb less than Stag Night (9-5) despite having the superior SR. The apprentice jockey Reese Holohan (11% strike rate, solid for a claimer) claims appropriately and the trainer M D O'Callaghan operates at a respectable 12% strike rate from 661 runners. Each-way alternative: Namiid. Main danger: Namiid — Namiid (SR:91, 11/2) combines DistFit:+ and GoingFit:+ with a solid recent form string of 314232 showing consistent placed form, runs off the same mark as its last win (MarkMv:=), and trainer J.P. Murtagh operates at 11% with Ben Coen in the saddle — though the 30% drift is a concern that prevents it topping the shortlist.
Full result
Winner: Red Evolution (IRE) at SP 100/30. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.
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1
Red Evolution Fox #1 4/1
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2
Cardiff By The Sea 20/1
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3
Moltophino 7/1
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4
Sommelier 50/1
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5
The Highway Rat 20/1
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6
Rosie Frith 14/1
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7
Amerilis 16/1
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8
Cuban Grey 18/1
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9
Keke 13/2
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10
Buddy Batt 40/1
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11
Bounty 20/1
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12
Namiid Fox #2 8/1
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13
Gazelle d'Or 20/1
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14
Dark Ace Fox #3 4/1
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15
Harry's Hill 33/1
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16
Frescobaldi 40/1
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17
Heddon Street 66/1
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18
Stag Night Fox #4 10/1
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19
Erosandpsyche 28/1
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20
Kendall Roy 20/1
Top 4 — how each finished
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1
Red Evolution 9/2 SP 100/30 🏆 WON
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2
Namiid 11/2 12TH
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3
Dark Ace 7/1 14TH
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4
Stag Night 10/1 18TH