← Honest Record · Pick Winner · Mr Fox
Kwiff More Bang For Your Bet Rated Race
Mr Fox’s call
Oro Blanco
SPECULATIVE Advised 10/3 Est. 32%
Mr Fox says
Oro Blanco (SR 98, 10/3) is the highest-rated horse in the field and the only runner combining GoingFit:+ and DistFit:+ — proven to handle both today's good ground and the 7f trip. Running off a mark only 2lb higher than last win (MarkMv:+2), the weight burden is minimal at 9-1. Mrs J. Harrington's yard has two runners, but the stable's #1 is clearly Oro Blanco: tighter price, more experienced jockey booking over stablemate Kindergarten (SR 76, 16/1, 113 days off, question marks on both distance and going), and the superior SR by 22 points. The 4-star AI probability and market price of 10/3 are aligned with the data. Each-way alternative: Lewis Carroll. Main danger: Lewis Carroll — Lewis Carroll (SR 92, 7/2) runs for Aidan O'Brien with a 22% trainer strike rate, holds Course:W1P1 at the Curragh, and a form line reading '9-1' suggests a sharp recent rebound — only a 5% market drift from opening suggests the market hasn't turned against him, and the unknown distance/going profile (DistFit:?, GoingFit:?) could easily be hiding a horse that handles this trip well.
Full result
Winner: Invincible Will (IRE) at SP 4/1. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.
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1
Invincible Will Fox #3 7/2
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2
Unauthorized 16/1
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3
Oro Blanco Fox #1 11/4
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4
Lewis Carroll Fox #2 9/2
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5
Kindergarten 25/1
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6
Chapel Lane Fox #4 7/1
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7
Killashee Warrior 9/2
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8
Mumhan 10/1
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9
Lohoobb 33/1
Top 4 — how each finished
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1
Oro Blanco 10/3 🥉 3RD
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2
Lewis Carroll 7/2 🏁 4TH
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3
Invincible Will 9/2 SP 4/1 🏆 WON
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4
Chapel Lane 15/2 6TH