← Honest Record · Pick Winner · Mr Fox
Golf & Gallop Southwell Golf Club Handicap Stakes
Mr Fox’s call
Massimo Blue
SPECULATIVE Advised 5/2 Est. 32%
Mr Fox says
Massimo Blue (SR:90, 5/2) is the clear class leader in this field, sitting 4 SR points clear of Come On Over and 9 above Ormolulu — a meaningful edge at Class 5 level. His Course:W3P3 record at Southwell is exceptional, demonstrating he handles this track better than anyone in the field, and the market has shortened 14% since opening, confirming fresh money is behind him. Running off a mark 6lb higher than his last win (MarkMv:+6) is a genuine concern, but dropping a class (ClassMv:↓1) offsets that penalty, and his recent form string 533114 shows two wins in his last four with a placed effort just 10 days ago. The combination of top SR, elite course record, and steaming market makes this a compelling case. Each-way alternative: Ormolulu. Main danger: Ormolulu — Ormolulu (SR:81, 4/1) has a phenomenal Course:W5P11 record at Southwell — the deepest course form of any rival — drops a class with a 6lb lower mark (MarkMv:-6), and is ridden by Daniel Muscutt (14% career strike rate), making him the most credible threat to upset Massimo Blue at a double-digit profit price.
Full result
Winner: New Image (GB) at SP 10/1. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.
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1
New Image Fox #4 10/1
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2
Come On Over Fox #3 13/2
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3
Alfa Duplicate 22/1
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4
Kats Bob 11/1
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An Outlaw's Grace 22/1
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King's Call 20/1
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Ormolulu Fox #2 9/2
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Lunar Melody 11/2
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Mighty Vega 33/1
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Goldwork 10/1
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Fenlander 22/1
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Bright Summer 16/1
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Massimo Blue Fox #1 9/4
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Mr Cool 14/1
Top 4 — how each finished
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1
Massimo Blue 5/2
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2
Ormolulu 4/1
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3
Come On Over 7/1 🥈 2ND
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4
New Image 16/1 SP 10/1 🏆 WON