← Honest Record · Pick Winner · Mr Fox
Bet365 Cambridgeshire (Class 2 Heritage Handicap)
Mr Fox’s call
Gavriel
SPECULATIVE Advised 4/1 Est. 22%
Mr Fox says
Gavriel (SR 101, 4/1) heads the ability rankings in this field and is the standout contender. Trained by John & Thady Gosden (24% strike rate, 1450 runners — a yard that knows how to place horses), he arrives on a compact 4-1-2-1 form line showing consistent progression, and a 14% market shortening since opening reflects genuine stable and market confidence. Carrying just 9-0, he has a meaningful weight advantage over rivals with comparable or higher SRs — for instance, Bourbon Blues (SR 99) off 9-6 and Hand of God (SR 98) off 9-12 are both giving pounds away to him. He is proven at today's distance (DistFit:+) and at Class 2 level stepping up one tier is the only concern, but the Gosden yard's 24% strike rate and Stable:1 designation confirm this is their number-one runner. The 4/1 price implies roughly 20% market probability, which aligns closely with our assessment. Each-way alternative: Spanish Voice. Main danger: Bourbon Blues — Bourbon Blues (SR 99, 10/1) has course form (W1P2 at Newmarket), a positive DistFit:+, and Ryan Moore (24% strike rate) in the saddle — the market has shortened 6% since opening, and Moore rarely rides without a serious chance in a race of this stature, making him the most credible threat to Gavriel.
Full result
Winner: at SP 33/1. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.
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1
Pierre Royal 33/1
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2
Crest of Fire 18/1
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3
Altareq 50/1
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4
Gavriel Fox #1 10/3
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5
Harmonics 12/1
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6
St Anton 28/1
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7
Erzindjan 8/1
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8
Asmen Warrior 28/1
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9
Indalo 8/1
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10
Hand of God Fox #4 17/2
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11
Hard Endeavor 28/1
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12
Shafdar 22/1
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13
Alcarath 12/1
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14
Spanish Voice Fox #3 14/1
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15
Zennor Storm 16/1
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15
Dwindling Funds 125/1
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17
Nizam 200/1
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18
Bourbon Blues Fox #2 11/1
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19
Parole d'Oro 40/1
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20
Principality 33/1
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21
Salam Dubawi 40/1
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22
Wanderlust 200/1
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23
Wild Thoughts 18/1
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24
Thunder Run 18/1
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25
Spell Master 20/1
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26
Urban Lion 50/1
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27
First Ambition 66/1
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Pathein -
Top 4 — how each finished
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1
Gavriel 4/1 🏁 4TH
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2
Bourbon Blues 10/1 18TH
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3
Spanish Voice 14/1 14TH
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4
Hand of God 8/1 10TH