← Honest Record · Pick Winner · Mr Fox
Tattersalls Middle Park Stakes (Group 1)
Mr Fox’s call
Inner City Blues
SPECULATIVE Advised 11/8 Est. 38%
Mr Fox says
Inner City Blues (SR 118, 11/8) leads the field on Saturday Rating and combines that with the strongest connections package in the race: Charlie Appleby at 34% career strike rate paired with William Buick at 25% — the most potent trainer-jockey combination here by a distance. A perfect Form:11 record including a course win (Course:W1P1) at Newmarket is exactly the profile that wins Middle Park Stakes; this colt has already shown he handles the track and the trip is marked DistFit:? only because the sample is limited, not because he has failed here. The 6% market shortening from opening confirms that professional money has not wavered, and at 11/8 the price reflects a horse that simply has not been beaten. Each-way alternative: Orthodox. Main danger: Orthodox — Orthodox (SR 121, 11/4) is actually the highest-rated horse in the field and a confirmed six-furlong performer with DistFit:+; a Form:116 that includes two wins followed by a sixth in a hot Group race is forgivable and Clive Cox's 17% strike rate supports a live chance at the price.
Full result
Winner: Orthodox (GB) at SP 7/2. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.
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1
Orthodox Fox #2 10/3
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2
Force Noir 66/1
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3
Hell of A Spin 40/1
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4
Push The Boat Out Fox #3 4/1
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5
Inner City Blues Fox #1 6/5
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6
Marco Polo Fox #4 6/1
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7
Confucius 20/1
Top 4 — how each finished
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4