← Honest Record · Pick Winner · Mr Fox
Market Rasen Racecourse Caravan Site Juvenile Hurdle Race (GBB Race)
Mr Fox’s call
Pass The Buck
SPECULATIVE Advised 3/1 Est. 32%
Mr Fox says
Pass The Buck (SR:89, 3/1) is the most compelling betting proposition in this juvenile hurdle. Despite carrying a slightly lighter burden at 11-2, the horse's market has shortened 8% — genuine stable confidence — and Harry Derham operates at a 22% strike rate, among the best in the field. GoingFit:+ confirms affinity with today's good ground, which matters in a field of largely unproven hurdlers. Moment of Light (SR:96) looks the form pick on paper but has drifted 7% from a tight starting price, is stepping up in class, and carries top-weight at 11-8 as a 3yo — the combination of a drift and a class rise is a meaningful warning signal here. Each-way alternative: Blue To Blue. Main danger: Moment of Light — Moment of Light holds the highest SR in the field at 96, has Harry Skelton — a 27% career jockey — aboard, and a single hurdling win on the board; the drift from favourite territory may simply reflect market over-reaction to the class rise rather than any genuine concern.
Full result
Winner: Vietnorm (IRE) at SP 9/2. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.
-
1
Vietnorm Fox #3 4/1
-
2
Moment of Light Fox #2 10/11
-
3
Pass The Buck Fox #1 11/4
-
4
Lynxman 150/1
-
5
Steel Fixer 80/1
-
—
Blue To Blue Fox #4 7/1
-
—
Two Steppin 150/1
Top 4 — how each finished
-
1
Pass The Buck 3/1 🥉 3RD
-
2
Moment of Light 5/6 🥈 2ND
-
3
Vietnorm 9/2 SP 9/2 🏆 WON
-
4
Blue To Blue 6/1