← Honest Record · Pick Winner · Mr Fox
BAR 1 Betting Diamond Stakes (Listed)
Mr Fox’s call
Geryon
MEDIUM Advised 6/4 Est. 48%
Mr Fox says
Geryon (SR 121, 6/4) is comfortably the highest-rated horse in this Listed field by a significant margin — 15 points clear of the next best Charles Fort (SR 106) and 21 points clear of Military Order (SR 100). The market has shortened 7% since opening, confirming professional support for a horse trained by G.M. Lyons (16% strike rate, 949 runners) with Colin Keane aboard (16% career strike rate, 2,327 runners — a top-tier booking). The GoingFit:+ confirms Geryon is proven on good ground, and while DistFit is marked '?' the step up to 1m2f150y from a 3-year-old in Listed company is a logical progression given the form line 424125 showing consistent placed efforts at Class 1. With only a 1lb weight concession to nearest rivals and no credible SR challenger at this level, Geryon is a clear selection. Each-way alternative: Military Order. Main danger: Military Order — Military Order (SR 100, evens) is the market's second choice with a 10% market-in move and a Godolphin/Appleby booking at a strong 33% trainer strike rate — connections clearly believe the 398-day absence has not blunted this horse, and the evens price implies the market sees it as a genuine threat, even if the SR gap to Geryon is substantial.
Full result
Winner: Military Order (IRE) at SP 11/10F. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.
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1
Military Order Fox #3 10/11
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2
Geryon Fox #1 6/4
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3
Alla Stella 16/1
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4
Nuit 80/1
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5
Charles Fort Fox #2 8/1
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6
Kilcrea Rock 33/1
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7
Spicy Margarita 150/1
Top 4 — how each finished
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1
Geryon 6/4 🥈 2ND
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2
Charles Fort 13/2 5TH
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3
Military Order evn SP 11/10F 🏆 WON