← Honest Record · Pick Winner · Mr Fox
Irishinjuredjockeys.com Handicap
Mr Fox’s call
Leannespour
SPECULATIVE Advised 11/4 Est. 26%
Mr Fox says
Leannespour (SR:52, 11/4) carries the lightest weight in the competitive SR range at 8-10, giving her a meaningful lbs advantage over Usuario Amigo (SR:59, 10-2) and Beat The Devil (SR:52, 10-0). Edward Lynam's 12% strike rate is the best among the leading trainers in this field, and Reese Holohan (11%, 259 runs) is a productive combination. While DistFit and GoingFit are both flagged as poor, the same concern applies to most of the field — this is a weak 17-runner handicap at Dundalk AW where her SR:52 and featherweight 8-10 gives her a structural advantage in a race where most rivals are significantly below the competitive range. At 11/4 the market has her as favourite and the connections profile supports that confidence. Each-way alternative: Usuario Amigo. Main danger: Usuario Amigo — SR:59 is the highest ability rating in the field and W.J. Lee (15%, 1,855 runners) is a high-quality booking with 14% market support (steamer from 4/1), making him a serious threat despite the top-weight burden of 10-2.
Full result
Winner: Usuario Amigo (GB) at SP 7/2. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.
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1
Usuario Amigo Fox #2 10/3
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2
Dubai Opulence 8/1
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3
Storm Eric 11/2
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4
Virgil Tibbs 20/1
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5
Glen Breeze 14/1
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6
Lady Landhort 12/1
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7
Leannespour Fox #1 5/2
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8
Beat The Devil Fox #3 9/2
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9
Colugo 40/1
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10
Queen Leila 33/1
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11
River Derwent 33/1
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12
May Night 50/1
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13
Never Mind Me 50/1
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14
Bright Dick 25/1
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—
Cannonball Queen 10/1
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—
One Cool County SP
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—
Movin And Groovin Fox #4 7/1
Top 4 — how each finished
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1
Leannespour 11/4 7TH
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2
Usuario Amigo 4/1 SP 7/2 🏆 WON
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3
Beat The Devil 5/1 8TH
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4
Movin And Groovin 15/2