← Honest Record · Pick Winner · Mr Fox
Copybet Arc Summer Chase Series Final Handicap Steeple Chase (gbb Race)
Mr Fox’s call
Youdecide
SPECULATIVE Advised 4/1 Est. 28%
Mr Fox says
Youdecide (SR 111, 4/1) presents the most compelling multi-signal case in the field. The 4P-112 form string shows a horse that recovered from a pulled-up run to post back-to-back wins, and crucially this is a same-class run (ClassMv:=) meaning those wins came at comparable level — no class-rise penalty to absorb. The weight of 11-0 is favourable against the top-rated horses in the field, and both DistFit:+ and GoingFit:+ confirm suitability for today's 2m4f on good ground. The market has shortened 9% since opening — quiet but consistent support — and the Course:W0P1 record shows Worcester familiarity. Ben Pauling's 17% yard strike rate with Ben Jones at 16% are reliable connections at this level. Each-way alternative: Palamon. Main danger: Palamon — Palamon (SR 113, 3/1) is the joint-top-rated runner and has shortened 17% in the market — the most significant steam in the field — with Dan and Harry Skelton at the peak of their powers (22% and 27% career strike rates respectively), and at 11-5 carries a manageable weight for a horse with room to improve on a going/distance combination that is at least moderate (GoingFit:~, DistFit:~), though the 63-553 recent form is the one reservation against it heading to the front of the market.
Full result
Winner: Pep Talking (GB) at SP 11/2. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.
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1
Pep Talking Fox #4 8/1
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2
Youdecide Fox #1 7/2
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3
Merely A Detail 6/1
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4
She Is For Me Boys 12/1
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5
Palamon Fox #2 5/2
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6
Karnaval Point 28/1
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7
Loki's Mischief 15/2
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8
Coastguard Station 80/1
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Regal Renaissance Fox #3 14/1
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Country Park 9/1
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Martin's Denuo 33/1
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Disco Davis 80/1
Top 4 — how each finished
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1
Youdecide 4/1 🥈 2ND
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2
Palamon 3/1 5TH
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3
Regal Renaissance 9/1
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4
Pep Talking 9/1 SP 11/2 🏆 WON