← Honest Record · Pick Winner · Mr Fox
Betway Joel Stakes (Group 2)
Mr Fox’s call
Talk of New York
MEDIUM Advised 1/2 SP 4/9F Est. 52%
Mr Fox says
Talk of New York (SR 135, 1/2) is the standout on every meaningful metric in this seven-runner Group 2. The SR of 135 is 16 points clear of the next-best Persica (SR 119) — an enormous gulf at this level — and Charlie Appleby's yard is firing at a 33% career strike rate with William Buick, whose 25% career rate makes this one of the most powerful jockey-trainer combinations in British racing. The market has shortened a further 8% since opening, confirming professional confidence, and DistFit:+ plus GoingFit:+ on good ground at Newmarket means conditions are tailor-made. The form string of 31132 shows consistent Group-level engagement, and the horse carries just 9-2 — no weight burden disadvantage. MarkMv:+12 is worth noting but with a SR this far clear of the field it is insufficient to undermine the selection. Each-way alternative: The Lost King. Main danger: Persica — Persica (SR 119) arrives on the back of a sharp 252131 form string with a Group-level last victory, James Doyle booked at 21% career strike rate, and Course:W1P1 at Newmarket — if Talk of New York is below peak fitness after a 56-day absence, Persica is the most likely beneficiary.
Full result
Winner: Talk Of New York (GB) at SP 4/9F. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.
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1
Talk of New York Fox #1 4/7
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2
The Lost King Fox #3 6/1
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3
Persica Fox #2 13/2
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4
Wild Desert 40/1
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5
Audience 25/1
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6
Hankelow 11/1
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7
Colori Forever 14/1
Top 4 — how each finished
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1
Talk of New York 1/2 SP 4/9F 🏆 WON
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2
Persica 15/2 🥉 3RD
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3
The Lost King 13/2 🥈 2ND