← Honest Record · Pick Winner · Mr Fox
Betway Rockfel Stakes (Group 2)
Mr Fox’s call
Light of Dawn
SPECULATIVE Advised 4/1 Est. 28%
Mr Fox says
Light of Dawn (SR 114, 4/1) carries the highest Saturday Rating in the field by a clear margin and has produced a four-run form string of 1-3-3-1 — including a recent win — at Group level, suggesting she handles elite juvenile competition better than anything else here. Her DistFit:+ confirms she handles seven furlongs, a critical edge in a field where six of nine runners show DistFit:? at this trip. K.R. Burke at 20% strike rate with James Doyle (21%) is a high-quality booking, and the ClassMv:= means she's not being asked to step up from familiar company. The +2 mark move is negligible. Speed of Sound (SR 105) is steaming in the market (+37%) and must be respected, but her MarkMv:+11 and ClassMv:↑1 represent a stiff ask, and Light of Dawn's SR advantage of 9 points is meaningful at Group level. Each-way alternative: Speed of Sound. Main danger: Speed of Sound — Speed of Sound (SR 105) has steamed 37% in the market, shows Course:W0P1 at Newmarket, and her DistFit:+ confirms she handles seven furlongs — the combination of market money and proven stamina makes her the most credible threat to Light of Dawn.
Full result
Winner: Pensando A Te (GB) at SP 15/2. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.
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1
Pensando A Te 6/1
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2
Light of Dawn Fox #1 7/2
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3
Ruby Moon 14/1
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4
Miss Miniver 10/1
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5
Speed of Sound Fox #2 13/2
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6
Sea Venture 25/1
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7
Sugar Yes Please Fox #3 6/1
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8
Spirited Gesture Fox #4 11/4
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9
Redline 100/1
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Siena Storm -
Top 4 — how each finished
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1
Light of Dawn 4/1 🥈 2ND
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2
Speed of Sound 13/2 5TH
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3
Sugar Yes Please 5/1 7TH
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4
Spirited Gesture 15/8 8TH