← Honest Record · Pick Winner · Mr Fox
Mwh Handicap Stakes
Mr Fox’s call
Sassy Glory
SPECULATIVE Advised 17/2 Est. 28%
Mr Fox says
Sassy Glory (SR:60, 17/2) carries the lightest competitive weight at 9-3 and arrives on the back of a recent win (form reads 921051, last run a win 23 days ago). Most critically, the market has steamed 22% — the strongest inward move in this field by a significant margin — signalling informed money. Course record of W3P5 at Newcastle is outstanding specialist form, and DistFit:+ confirms proven ability at this distance. The GoingFit:- is the one concern, but the weight advantage over rivals, the course specialisation, and the 22% market support combine to make this the clearest multi-signal case in the race. Each-way alternative: Barleybrown. Main danger: Barleybrown — Barleybrown (SR:63, 4/1) is the second-highest SR in the competitive shortlist, carries only 9-3, has an exceptional Course:W4P12 record at Newcastle — the most visits of any runner — and has nudged in 6% in the market, providing a credible multi-signal threat to the selection.
Full result
Winner: Adelaide Bay (GB) at SP 20/1. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.
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1
Adelaide Bay 17/2
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2
Reginald Charles Fox #4 7/2
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3
Bajan Bandit 9/2
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4
Barleybrown Fox #2 7/2
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5
Volenti 7/1
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6
Travis Fox #3 8/1
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7
Toralou 14/1
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8
Trais Fluors 28/1
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9
Sassy Glory Fox #1 15/2
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10
One More Bottle 25/1
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11
Aurora's Doublesix 100/1
Top 4 — how each finished
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1
Sassy Glory 17/2 9TH
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2
Barleybrown 4/1 🏁 4TH
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3
Travis 9/1 6TH
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4
Reginald Charles 9/2 🥈 2ND