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Northumbrian Wateraid Handicap Stakes

16:35 Newcastle (AW) Fri 25 Sep 2026 1m4f98y Class 6 Good 13 runners

Mr Fox’s call

Farabove The Limit silks

Farabove The Limit

SPECULATIVE Advised 3/1 SP 4/1 Est. 32%

🏆 WON

Mr Fox says

Farabove The Limit (SR:68, 3/1) carries the lightest weight of the leading pair at 9-6, giving a meaningful edge over Rubellite (SR:69, 10-1). The 24% market shortening is the single clearest money signal in the race — from an opening price, the market has decisively backed this horse, and combined with a last-time-out win (form reading ...491, rightmost=1) and a solid jockey booking in Paul Mulrennan (14% career SR across 2,402 runners), the case is multi-signal. At Class 6 on the same class as last run (ClassMv:=) and running off only a 3lb rise (MarkMv:+3) following that win, the handicapper hasn't overcorrected, leaving value at 3/1. Each-way alternative: Rubellite. Main danger: Rubellite — Rubellite (SR:69, 11/4) holds the narrow SR lead over Farabove The Limit and brings Course:W4P10 — an exceptional course-specialist record at Newcastle AW — alongside a DistFit:+ and a last-time-out win, making it the most plausible winner if the 8% drift is explained by the mark rise rather than any fitness concern.

Full result

Winner: Farabove The Limit (IRE) at SP 4/1. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.

  1. 1 Farabove The Limit silks Farabove The Limit Fox #1 Phillip Makin · Paul Mulrennan 10/3
  2. 2 That Darn Cantor silks That Darn Cantor Ed Dunlop · Rowan Scott 7/1
  3. 2 Spirit of Nature silks Spirit of Nature Jim Goldie · Joanna Mason 33/1
  4. 4 Newport silks Newport Iain Jardine · Tom Kiely-Marshall(3) 11/2
  5. 5 Beckon silks Beckon Susan Corbett · George Wood 25/1
  6. 6 Havachoc silks Havachoc Patrick Morris · David Nolan 11/2
  7. 7 Rubellite silks Rubellite Fox #2 Stephen Hanlon · Conor Whiteley(5) 10/3
  8. 8 Sutton Hoo silks Sutton Hoo Stephen Hanlon · Jack Dace(5) 33/1
  9. 9 Dancingondiamonds silks Dancingondiamonds Patrick Morris · Jack Callan 20/1
  10. 10 Ouro Preto silks Ouro Preto Iain Jardine · Andrew Mullen 11/1
  11. 11 Hey Havana silks Hey Havana Fox #3 Geoffrey Harker · P. J. McDonald 8/1
  12. 12 Cusack silks Cusack David Thompson · Gina Mangan 33/1
  13. — Beat The Odds silks Beat The Odds Antony Brittain · Cam Hardie 66/1

Top 4 — how each finished

  1. 1 Farabove The Limit silks Farabove The Limit 3/1 SP 4/1 🏆 WON
  2. 2 Rubellite silks Rubellite 11/4 7TH
  3. 3 Hey Havana silks Hey Havana 15/2 11TH