← Honest Record · Pick Winner · Mr Fox
Everton In The Community Nursery Handicap Stakes
Mr Fox’s call
Thebesthasyetocome
SPECULATIVE Advised 7/2 Est. 32%
Mr Fox says
Thebesthasyetocome (SR:87, 7/2) is the highest-rated horse in the field and the market has backed it aggressively — a 31% inward move is the strongest market signal on the card and strongly suggests informed confidence. Dropping two class tiers (ClassMv:↓2) with a mark of 9-8 makes this a prime handicap opportunity, and the form string 318 shows a recent winning effort (rightmost digit) that underpins the confidence. Adrian Keatley posts a solid 15% trainer strike rate from 745 runners, and while the jockey is quieter at 7%, the huge market support overrides that concern. Noble Prince (SR:85, 11/4) is the obvious danger but has drifted 6% and carries the most weight at 9-9 on soft ground, giving Thebesthasyetocome a 1lb weight edge with the superior rating. Each-way alternative: Keep Grating. Main danger: Noble Prince — Noble Prince carries SR:85 and represents the powerful Charlie Appleby yard (33% trainer strike rate), and despite drifting 6% still holds a leading market position at 11/4 with proven distance fitness (DistFit:+) and consistent recent form of 422.
Full result
Winner: Girl Scout (GB) at SP 17/2. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.
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1
Girl Scout 11/2
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2
Thebesthasyetocome Fox #1 10/3
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3
Noble Prince Fox #2 9/4
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4
Asgar Fox #4 4/1
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5
Blanquita 20/1
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6
Real Edition 40/1
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7
Keep Grating Fox #3 4/1
Top 4 — how each finished
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1
Thebesthasyetocome 7/2 🥈 2ND
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2
Noble Prince 11/4 🥉 3RD
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3
Keep Grating 9/2 7TH
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4
Asgar 3/1 🏁 4TH