← Honest Record · Pick Winner · Mr Fox
Kevin McManus Bookmaker Flat Race
Mr Fox’s call
Berkstar
MEDIUM Advised 1/2 SP 8/11F Est. 55%
Mr Fox says
Berkstar (SR 93, 1/2) is unambiguously the class standout in this field of bumper horses, with a SR of 93 that dwarfs the next-best Sierrascope (SR 86) and leaves the rest of the field (SR 57-62) firmly out of their depth. The Mullins yard operates at a 26% career strike rate with 2,894 runners — the dominant jumps operation in Ireland — and Patrick Mullins aboard (33% strike rate, 463 rides) is the most experienced amateur in the business, specifically retained for the yard's most fancied bumper runners. The market has steamed in 27% to 1/2, reflecting strong stable confidence with no ambiguity; this is not a drifter masquerading as a favourite. With every runner carrying level weights (11-10), the SR advantage is unencumbered. Each-way alternative: Sierrascope. Main danger: Sierrascope — Sierrascope (SR 86) is trained by Henry de Bromhead (16% strike rate, 2,307 runners) and ridden by Mr J L Gleeson (19%), giving it the second-strongest connections package in the race, and its SR of 86 is the only number that could realistically exploit any overconfidence in the Mullins camp.
Full result
Winner: Berkstar (IRE) at SP 8/11F. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.
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1
Berkstar Fox #1 4/9
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2
Bravemans Call 14/1
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3
Sierrascope Fox #2 3/1
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4
Veales Cross Fox #3 13/2
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5
Catalunya 80/1
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6
Days Go By 22/1
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7
Real Lark 66/1
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8
Paulin 50/1
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9
Monegasque 66/1
Top 4 — how each finished
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1
Berkstar 1/2 SP 8/11F 🏆 WON
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2
Sierrascope 7/2 🥉 3RD
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3
Veales Cross 11/2 🏁 4TH