← Honest Record · Pick Winner · Mr Fox
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Mr Fox’s call
Feel The Need
SPECULATIVE Advised 15/8 SP 5/4F Est. 32%
Mr Fox says
Feel The Need (SR:82, 15/8) is the clear SR leader in this field and has steamed in 20% in the market, the strongest market move of any runner — the money is firmly on. The 6lb weight edge over Thapa VC and Phoenix of Dreams at 9-13 is a concern, but at SR:82 it is meaningfully clear of the next best (Thapa VC at SR:79, Phoenix of Dreams at SR:77). The DistFit:- and GoingFit:- flags are the main cautions — this horse has a poor record at 7f on good going at Southwell — but Course:W1P4 shows it knows the track well, MarkMv:-4 means it is running off a lowered mark, and the trainer/jockey combination of Herrington (14%) and Levey (13%) is workmanlike but capable at this level. The 20% market move since opening is the decisive additional signal that outweighs the distance and going concerns. Each-way alternative: Phoenix of Dreams. Main danger: Shades of May — Shades of May (SR:69, 11/2) carries the lightest weight at 9-4, has a strong course record (W2P2), a confirmed GoingFit:+ on today's going bucket, and recent form of 118341 shows it is in good order — the class rise (↑1) and elevated mark (+8) are the only drags.
Full result
Winner: Feel The Need (GB) at SP 5/4F. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.
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1
Feel The Need Fox #1 7/4
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2
Phoenix of Dreams Fox #2 11/2
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3
Shades of May Fox #3 4/1
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4
Enpassant 10/1
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5
Because We Can 12/1
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6
Profit Street 25/1
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7
Thapa VC Fox #4 9/2
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8
Tactical Blitz 28/1
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9
King of York 28/1
Top 4 — how each finished
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1
Feel The Need 15/8 SP 5/4F 🏆 WON
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2
Phoenix of Dreams 4/1 🥈 2ND
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3
Shades of May 11/2 🥉 3RD
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4
Thapa VC 6/1 7TH