← Honest Record · Pick Winner · Mr Fox
Equine Products UK Best Turned Out Handicap Steeple Chase (Go North Red Rum Series Qualifier) (GBB Race)
Mr Fox’s call
Sir Carnegie
SPECULATIVE Advised 3/1 Est. 28%
Mr Fox says
Sir Carnegie (SR:104, 3/1) is the class anchor of this field, carrying 11-9 and boasting the best course record of any genuine contender at W2P4 at Perth — a track where course specialists consistently outperform. His DistFit:+ confirms he handles today's demanding 2m7f trip, and his form string 311651 shows a horse that consistently competes at the sharp end — his last run was a win. Despite drifting 10% in the market, his price is likely the result of the blinkers headgear query rather than a fundamental form concern; Mickey Bowen/James Bowen as a yard-and-jockey combination runs at 16%/20% strike rates respectively, demonstrating a live, active operation. Inis Oirr is the each-way alternative; the danger is Inis Oirr who has genuine course form (W1P5) and the GoingFit:+ edge, and is being actively supported (Mkt:in7%). Each-way alternative: Inis Oirr. Main danger: Inis Oirr — Inis Oirr has the best going fit of any contender (GoingFit:+), strong course form (W1P5), is dropping in class (ClassMv:↓1), and is being backed into 6/1 from a higher opening price (Mkt:in7%), suggesting connections believe conditions suit — though the 74-day layoff and the Russell/Scudamore yard's modest 5% strike rate are reasons to keep it to second choice.
Full result
Winner: Upfordebate (IRE) at SP 8/1. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.
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1
Upfordebate 13/2
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2
Sean Og Fox #3 13/2
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3
Sir Carnegie Fox #1 11/4
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4
Inis Oirr Fox #2 15/2
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5
Juke Hill 7/1
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6
Wasdell Dundalk 18/1
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7
Midnight Moonshine 14/1
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8
Another High Five Fox #4 7/2
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—
Judicial Review 20/1
Top 4 — how each finished
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1
Sir Carnegie 3/1 🥉 3RD
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2
Inis Oirr 6/1 🏁 4TH
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3
Sean Og 11/2 🥈 2ND
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4
Another High Five 7/2 8TH