← Honest Record · Pick Winner · Mr Fox
Jockey Club Rose Bowl Stakes (Listed Race)
Mr Fox’s call
Gregory
SPECULATIVE Advised 4/6 SP 4/7F Est. 38%
Mr Fox says
Gregory (SR:117, 4/6) is the clear class standout in this field — his SR of 117 is 23 points clear of the next-best Goblet of Fire (SR:94) and towers over the rest. Carrying 9-8, he has proven distance fitness (DistFit:+) and going fitness (GoingFit:+) on today's good ground over 2m at Newmarket, and the Gosden/Doyle combination delivers at 24%/21% strike rates respectively. The 103-day break is a minor concern and his mark has risen 3lb, but the quality gap is simply too large to ignore — his form line of 35/7-1 shows a recent win and the step back to Listed level (ClassMv:=) suits after presumably running in stronger company. Each-way alternative: Goblet of Fire. Main danger: Goblet of Fire — Goblet of Fire (SR:94, 15/2) has steamed in 34% in the market — the strongest market move in the race — holds genuine course form (W1P2 at Newmarket), proven distance fitness, and good-going confirmation, suggesting connections and punters believe the step up two classes is within reach.
Full result
Winner: Gregory (GB) at SP 4/7F. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.
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1
Gregory Fox #1 5/6
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2
Goblet of Fire Fox #2 7/2
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3
Peace Belle 40/1
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4
Orchard Keeper 33/1
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5
Burdett Road 12/1
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6
Arabian Force Fox #3 7/1
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7
Spirit Mixer 25/1
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8
Kelly Burn 25/1
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9
Pinatique 40/1
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10
Magnetude 16/1
Top 4 — how each finished
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1
Gregory 4/6 SP 4/7F 🏆 WON
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2
Goblet of Fire 15/2 🥈 2ND
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3
Arabian Force 11/2 6TH