← Honest Record · Pick Winner · Mr Fox
Plantation Stud British EBF Maiden Stakes (Colts And Geldings Only)
Mr Fox’s call
Hamrin
SPECULATIVE Advised 9/4 Est. 38%
Mr Fox says
Hamrin (SR 155, 9/4) is an unraced 2yo from Andrew Balding's powerful yard ridden by Oisin Murphy (22% career strike rate, 2716 runners), and crucially the market has steamed in 19% from its opening price — the sharpest inward move in this field among the genuine contenders. While Code Of Honour (SR 153) holds a similar profile, it has drifted a dramatic 24% out from its morning price, a significant red flag that the Appleby/Buick team are not fully confident today. Hamrin's SR edge over the experienced Netherstream (SR 157) is close, but Balding's 18% strike rate combined with Murphy's booking and market support edges it ahead. Netherstream's recent form of 3-5 (last two runs) shows a horse that is competitive but has yet to win, adding a question mark over its ability to convert. Each-way alternative: Netherstream. Main danger: Netherstream — Netherstream carries the highest SR in the field at 157, has racecourse experience from two previous runs (form 3-5), and has also steamed in 19% in the market — if that experience edge proves decisive over the unraced Hamrin, it is the most likely winner.
Full result
Winner: Netherstream (GB) at SP 3/1. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.
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1
Netherstream Fox #2 11/4
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2
Sydney Carton 8/1
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3
Code Of Honour Fox #3 6/4
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4
Del Pearo 28/1
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5
Epistle 80/1
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6
Lead The Squad 66/1
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7
Hamrin Fox #1 5/2
Top 4 — how each finished
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1
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2
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3