← Honest Record · Pick Winner · Mr Fox
Nairn's Oatcakes Novices' Limited Handicap Hurdle Race
Mr Fox’s call
Seeyainthesuninn
SPECULATIVE Advised 4/1 SP 9/2 Est. 28%
Mr Fox says
Seeyainthesuninn (SR:90, 4/1, 11-12) is the clear SR leader in this modest Class 5 field by a margin of 6 points over the nearest rival, and that rating advantage is backed by a market move in of 8% — money is coming for this horse. The form string 3-P141 shows a win last time out, confirming peak fitness, and trainer Micky Hammond (10%) with Alice Stevens (13%) is a solid combination. Carrying top-weight of 11-12 is a concern in a competitive handicap, but with a 7-point SR edge over the next best contender (C'Mon So at SR:84) and the weight still manageable on good ground, the ability gap outweighs the burden. The GoingFit:~ is not ideal but not a disqualifier, and Perth is a track where ability tends to win out over specialist form. Each-way alternative: C'Mon So. Main danger: C'Mon So — C'Mon So (SR:84, 5/1, 10-9) carries 17lb less than Seeyainthesuninn, has steamed in 19% in the market, holds course form (W0P1 at Perth), and at age 5 may have upside as the yard's preferred runner over stablemate Magic Gloves given the stronger jockey booking and market trajectory.
Full result
Winner: Seeyainthesuninn (GB) at SP 9/2. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.
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1
Seeyainthesuninn Fox #1 4/1
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2
Forest Spirit Fox #4 4/1
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3
Les's Destiny Star Fox #3 17/2
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4
C'Mon So Fox #2 9/2
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5
Magic Gloves 15/2
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6
Fortunes Dawn 40/1
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7
Luckie Devil 12/1
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8
Fairly Fulling 9/1
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9
Masterminding 14/1
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10
Anamanda 14/1
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11
Judicial Review 11/1
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—
Autumn Getaway 40/1
Top 4 — how each finished
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1
Seeyainthesuninn 4/1 SP 9/2 🏆 WON
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2
C'Mon So 5/1 🏁 4TH
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3
Les's Destiny Star 17/2 🥉 3RD
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4
Forest Spirit 4/1 🥈 2ND