← Honest Record · Pick Winner · Mr Fox
Edmund & Josie Whelan Memorial Listowel Stakes (Listed)
Mr Fox’s call
Meriden
SPECULATIVE Advised 10/3 SP 9/4J Est. 32%
Mr Fox says
Meriden (SR:112, 10/3) carries the joint-highest SR in the field alongside a DistFit:+ and GoingFit:+ confirmation — proven at this trip and on good ground — and a recent form string of 111267 showing three consecutive wins before a slight dip, suggesting peak form. At 9-3 she carries 9lb less than joint-top-weight Jagged Edge despite possessing a 2-point SR advantage, a meaningful weight-for-ability edge in a Listed contest. Denis Hogan's 9% strike rate is modest but Chris Hayes (10%, 2,321 career rides) is a quality pilot and the 10-day turnaround suggests the horse is training well. The principal concern is the +7lb mark rise since last win, but the weight-for-age allowance as a 3-year-old mitigates that in this mixed-age field. Each-way alternative: Iowa City. Main danger: Jagged Edge — Jagged Edge (SR:110, 5/2) holds DistFit:+ and GoingFit:+ — proven at this trip and going — and despite carrying top-weight of 9-12 the market makes it clear favourite, suggesting stable confidence that its 5/0301 recent form (a win and a third in its last two meaningful runs) is trending upward at this exact class level.
Full result
Winner: Meriden (GB) at SP 9/4J. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.
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1
Meriden Fox #1 10/3
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2
Iron Fist 17/2
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3
Jagged Edge Fox #2 5/2
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4
Bay Colony 50/1
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5
Cristal Clere 18/1
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6
Iowa City Fox #3 13/2
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7
Chica Guerrera 9/1
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8
Qualixia Fox #4 7/1
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9
Mixed Feelings 14/1
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10
Queen Of The Bogs 22/1
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11
La Tulipe Noire 200/1
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—
Flower Forest 14/1
Top 4 — how each finished
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1
Meriden 10/3 SP 9/4J 🏆 WON
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2
Jagged Edge 5/2 🥉 3RD
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3
Iowa City 6/1 6TH
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4
Qualixia 15/2 8TH