← Honest Record · Pick Winner · Mr Fox
attheraces.com/marketmovers Handicap Hurdle
Mr Fox’s call
Motazzen
SPECULATIVE Advised 4/1 SP 3/1F Est. 32%
Mr Fox says
Motazzen (SR:107, 4/1) is the highest-rated horse in the field and brings the most compelling combination of signals: a last-time-out win (form reading 1-8431, rightmost = win), a market move in of 8% suggesting stable confidence, and outstanding course form of W4P7 at Fontwell that no rival comes close to matching. Carrying 11-10 gives him a weight advantage over top-weight Siam Park (12-2), and trainer Henrietta Knight's 12% strike rate is respectable at this level. The GoingFit:~ is a mild concern on today's Good ground, but the course specialisation and recent winning form override that hesitation. Each-way alternative: Bright Legend. Main danger: Bright Legend — Bright Legend has steamed in 23% in the market — the most significant move in the field — and despite GoingFit:-, the yard's 15% strike rate and a MarkMv:-5 (running off a mark 5lb below his last win) suggests connections believe the drop in mark compensates for the going concern.
Full result
Winner: Motazzen (IRE) at SP 3/1F. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.
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1
Motazzen Fox #1 2/1
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2
Prairie Diamond 11/1
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3
Siam Park 6/1
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4
Bright Legend Fox #2 12/1
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5
Starshine Legend 5/2
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6
Atreides Fox #4 9/2
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7
Getaway With You 12/1
Top 4 — how each finished
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1
Motazzen 4/1 SP 3/1F 🏆 WON
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2
Bright Legend 10/1 🏁 4TH
- 3 Siam Legend
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4
Atreides 5/1 6TH