← Honest Record · Pick Winner · Mr Fox
Total Task Consultancy Take The Reins Handicap Stakes (Div I)
Mr Fox’s call
Under The Twilight
SPECULATIVE Advised 11/4 Est. 32%
Mr Fox says
Under The Twilight (SR 95, 11/4) is comfortably the highest-rated horse in this field and arrives in excellent recent form — a 4-4-1-2-1 sequence culminating in a last-time-out win. Crucially, GoingFit:+ confirms the horse handles today's good-to-firm ground, and Course:W3P4 at Windsor marks this as a genuine course specialist. The market has tightened 6% from the open, reflecting quiet but meaningful confidence, and trainer Michael Blake runs a small but efficient yard (17% strike rate from just 35 runners). The sole concern is MarkMv:+2, a modest 2lb rise on a winning mark — manageable given the SR advantage over every rival. Each-way alternative: Supreme King. Main danger: Supreme King — Supreme King (SR 88, 3/1) is dropping a class (ClassMv:↓1), has steamed in 11% in the market with Billy Loughnane booked — the strongest market move in the field — and despite a modest DistFit:~ and GoingFit:~, the class relief and jockey booking signal a yard confident of a bold show.
Full result
Winner: Space Bear (IRE) at SP 15/2. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.
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1
Space Bear 10/1
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2
An Outlaw's Grace 12/1
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3
Sergeant Pep 14/1
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4
Sargent Dennis 14/1
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5
Amazonian Dream 8/1
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6
Supreme King Fox #2 10/3
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7
Lequinto Fox #3 9/2
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8
Under The Twilight Fox #1 11/4
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9
Kennington 14/1
Top 4 — how each finished
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1
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2
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3