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Gamble Responsibly At Betmgm Handicap Stakes
Mr Fox’s call
Rosario
SPECULATIVE Advised 5/2 SP 6/5F Est. 31%
Mr Fox says
Rosario (SR:91, 5/2) has been steamered dramatically — 47% market shortening — which is the strongest market signal in the field by a considerable margin and demands respect. Dropping two class tiers, carrying 9-12, and ridden by Rossa Ryan (16% career strike rate, 1,458 runners — the most accomplished jockey booking in the race), the connections are clearly here to win. The GoingFit:- is a concern on today's good ground, but the class drop and market confidence override it; the form string of -68547 shows consistent recent involvement and the step down in grade makes the latest figures look considerably more competitive. At 5/2, the market has already priced in significant confidence, and the combination of top jockey, class advantage, and aggressive support makes Rosario the most compelling case. Each-way alternative: Hypnotised. Main danger: Hypnotised — Hypnotised (SR:96, highest in the field, 9/4) carries the lightest weight of the main contenders at 9-8, drops a class, and has a course place to her name — despite the 7% drift and GoingFit:- concern, her raw SR superiority and class drop could easily overpower on a track she has visited before.
Full result
Winner: Rosario (IRE) at SP 6/5F. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.
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1
Rosario Fox #1 2/1
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2
Lipsink 14/1
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3
Havana Smile 11/1
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4
Marching Mac 7/1
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5
Betsen Fox #4 8/1
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6
Nuevo Slovo 40/1
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7
Roach Power 9/1
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8
Zoulu Chief 9/2
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Quantum Power Fox #3 6/1
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Hypnotised Fox #2 9/4
Top 4 — how each finished
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4