← Honest Record · Pick Winner · Mr Fox
Betmgm Atalanta Stakes (Group 3)
Mr Fox’s call
Calendar Girl
SPECULATIVE Advised 11/4 Est. 32%
Mr Fox says
Calendar Girl (SR:123, 11/4) is the highest-rated horse in the field by a clear margin — 8 points clear of the next best — and her form string 1211-1 shows consistent winning form at this level, with the rightmost '1' confirming a last-time-out victory. She's proven at the distance (DistFit:+), proven on good ground (GoingFit:+), carries a favourable 9-0 with no weight penalty, and the market has shortened 10% since opening, indicating genuine confidence from connections. Owen Burrows posts a solid 18% strike rate and Callum Rodriguez at 17% is in good order — this is a yard firing on all cylinders with a filly who clearly belongs at Group 3 level. Each-way alternative: Secret Of Life. Main danger: Secret Of Life — Secret Of Life (SR:115, 3/1) has a flawless recent form string of 1-11, is a course winner (Course:W1P1), proven at the distance (DistFit:+), has been supported in the market (Mkt:in6%), and Ralph Beckett/Rossa Ryan is a high-calibre combination — the only credible case for upsetting Calendar Girl is that Secret Of Life is a lightly-raced improver not yet caught by the ratings.
Full result
Winner: Love Dynasty (FR) at SP 33/1. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.
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1
Love Dynasty 40/1
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2
Noche Clasica 25/1
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3
Moon Target 4/1
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4
Secret Of Life Fox #2 3/1
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5
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6
Calendar Girl Fox #1 11/4
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7
Pacific Mission 14/1
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8
Cap Santa Lucia 40/1
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9
Kon Tiki Fox #4 5/1
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10
Maeva 125/1
Top 4 — how each finished
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1
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2
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3
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4