← Honest Record · Pick Winner · Mr Fox
Fontwell Park Family Festival Raceday Novices' Limited Handicap Hurdle
Mr Fox’s call
Onehundredneighty
SPECULATIVE Advised 6/4 Est. 32%
Mr Fox says
Onehundredneighty (SR:79, 6/4, Wgt:10-13) carries the lightest competitive weight among the SR-viable runners and has seen the most dramatic market support in the field — shortening 24% since opening — which in a small seven-runner novice handicap is a meaningful signal. The SR of 79 is second only to Delgany Second Now (80) but Onehundredneighty carries 6lb less than Delgany Second Now (11-5 vs 10-13), a significant edge in a hurdle race over 2m3f. Ben Pauling (20% strike rate, 107 runners) and Ben Jones (19%, 117 runners) are an in-form, competent combination, and the form string 0235-4 shows progressive placing before a recent fourth — consistent enough not to be dismissed. Delgany Second Now has drifted 26% from its morning price and has a GoingFit of minus on today's good ground, which undermines its favourite status despite the superior trainer profile. Each-way alternative: Wise Counsellor. Main danger: Delgany Second Now — Despite drifting 26% and a GoingFit of minus, Delgany Second Now's SR of 80 (highest in the field), Dan Skelton/Harry Skelton combination (21%/27% strike rates), and a last-run win on the form string make it the most likely alternative winner if the going suits better than the data suggests.
Full result
Winner: Delgany Second Now (GB) at SP 9/4. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.
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1
Delgany Second Now Fox #2 7/4
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2
Onehundredneighty Fox #1 6/4
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3
Khalk'eau Spigao 12/1
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4
Kotari Fox #3 6/1
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5
Uncle Remus 33/1
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6
North Account 66/1
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7
Wise Counsellor Fox #4 8/1
Top 4 — how each finished
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1
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2
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3
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4