← Honest Record · Pick Winner · Mr Fox
Attheraces.com/marketmovers Handicap Stakes (Bath Summer Stayers Series Qualifier)
Mr Fox’s call
Boilermaker
SPECULATIVE Advised 11/10 SP 1/1F Est. 38%
Mr Fox says
Boilermaker (SR 88, 11/10) stands clear of the field on ability — a 12-point SR gap to the next-best The Craftymaster (SR 76) is substantial in a Class 5 handicap. Crucially, despite dropping a class and carrying only 9-4, the market has backed this horse in aggressively by 25%, signalling strong stable confidence from Harry Charlton's yard (17% strike rate from 234 runners). The form string 42321 shows a progressive 3-year-old building to a win last time out, and the class drop from whatever he faced last should more than offset the MarkMv:+3 rise in the weights. The light weight advantage over Kingdom Of Stars (10-0) and The Craftymaster (9-12) is a real physical edge at this trip on the all-weather. Each-way alternative: V Power. Main danger: The Craftymaster — The Craftymaster (SR 76, 9/2) has won at this course (W1P2), showed sharp recent form (651211 — three consecutive wins before the 1), and Tony Carroll's yard is represented here as the #1 runner — however the 49% market drift and a mark 11lb higher than last win are real concerns that cap the danger rating.
Full result
Winner: Boilermaker (FR) at SP 1/1F. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.
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1
Boilermaker Fox #1 evn
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2
The Craftymaster Fox #2 5/1
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3
Kingdom Of Stars Fox #3 5/1
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4
Fair Dinkum 16/1
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5
V Power Fox #4 8/1
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6
One Cool Dreamer 12/1
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7
Letmebetheboss 16/1
Top 4 — how each finished
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1
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2
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3
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4