← Honest Record · Pick Winner · Mr Fox
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Mr Fox’s call
Buckland Belle
HIGH Advised 11/10 Est. 42%
Mr Fox says
Buckland Belle (SR 77, 11/10) is the standout on every meaningful metric in this Class 6 field of six. Her SR of 77 is the highest by a significant margin — 7 points clear of Ecclefechan and 8 clear of Berkshire Boom — and she carries only 9-6, a pound lighter than both market rivals despite her superior rating. Her form string 1-3-2-2-1-3 (rightmost = last) shows consistent competitiveness and a recent win, and critically she is proven at this exact course with W1P3 at Windsor, at today's distance (DistFit:+), and on good-to-firm ground (GoingFit:+) — a rare triple course/distance/going confirmation. Running at the same class as last time (ClassMv:=) and backed in a further 8% since opening, the market is firmly on her side for well-grounded reasons. The only note of caution is a 6lb rise above her last winning mark (MarkMv:+6), but given her superiority on SR and the quality of opposition here, that is a manageable penalty. Each-way alternative: Berkshire Boom. Main danger: Ecclefechan — Ecclefechan has steamed 32% in the market — the biggest move in the field — and drops two class levels, suggesting connections believe this is a winnable opportunity despite the GoingFit:- concern.
Full result
Winner: Ecclefechan (GB) at SP 5/1. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.
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1
Ecclefechan Fox #3 6/1
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2
Buckland Belle Fox #1 5/4
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3
Berkshire Boom Fox #2 11/4
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4
Torbados 11/2
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5
Who Is Alice 20/1
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6
Sup Of Red 20/1
Top 4 — how each finished
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1
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2
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3