← Honest Record · Pick Winner · Mr Fox
Sky Bet Dav Reid Finale Handicap Stakes (Heritage Handicap) (GBBPlus Race)
Mr Fox’s call
Raammee
SPECULATIVE Advised 5/2 SP 13/8F Est. 32%
Mr Fox says
Raammee (SR 109, 5/2, 9-12) is the clear class leader in this field — the next best SR is Diego El Queso at 103 — and carries the highest weight yet still attracts the strongest market signal in the race: a 25% steam from opening price. Roger Varian's yard operates at 20% strike rate and has fired 662 career runners, a serious operation that books Ray Dawson with purpose. Course form of W1P1 at York adds meaningful confidence, and the 4-year-old's recent 11-421 form string (rightmost = last) shows consistent placing after back-to-back wins. The MarkMv:+8 is a concern — running off a mark 8lb higher than at last win — but the SR advantage is sufficiently wide and the market has decisively answered the question of whether connections believe it. Diego El Queso (SR 103, 9/2) is the each-way alternative; Bourbon Blues (SR 99, 9-2, 12/1) is the danger, having been backed in 20% with Oisin Murphy aboard, proven distance form, and a favourable weight. Each-way alternative: Diego El Queso. Main danger: Bourbon Blues — Bourbon Blues (SR 99, 9-2 weight, 12/1) has steamed in 20% with Oisin Murphy booked, holds proven distance form (DistFit:+), carries the lightest weight among the credible contenders at 9-2, and a 3-year-old allowance in a heritage handicap is a genuine structural edge.
Full result
Winner: Raammee (GB) at SP 13/8F. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.
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1
Raammee Fox #1 6/4
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2
Thunder Run 14/1
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3
Bourbon Blues Fox #3 18/1
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4
Shafdar 14/1
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5
Castle Stuart 14/1
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6
Dark Moon Rising 40/1
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7
Mr Swivell 33/1
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8
Al Aali 14/1
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9
Parole d'Oro 33/1
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10
Accredit Fox #4 10/1
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11
Salam Dubawi 16/1
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12
Erzindjan 11/1
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13
Double Parked 50/1
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14
Quai De Bethune 33/1
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15
Dhahabi 250/1
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16
Dain Ma Nut In 28/1
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17
Rainbow Nebula 100/1
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18
Diego El Queso Fox #2 9/2
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19
Sujet 125/1
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20
Have Secret 50/1
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—
Nepal 150/1
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—
King's Code 40/1
Top 4 — how each finished
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1
Raammee 5/2 SP 13/8F 🏆 WON
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2
Diego El Queso 9/2 18TH
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3
Bourbon Blues 12/1 🥉 3RD
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4
Accredit 7/1 10TH