← Honest Record · Pick Winner · Mr Fox
Aubrey Loze Memorial Handicap Hurdle Race (GBB Race)
Mr Fox’s call
Morning Mayhem
SPECULATIVE Advised 10/3 Est. 32%
Mr Fox says
Morning Mayhem (SR 124, 10/3) carries the lightest competitive weight in the field at 10-12 and has steamed in 43% from its opening price — the most aggressive market move in the race, indicating strong stable confidence. Course:W1P1 at Newton Abbot confirms this track suits, and the Nick Scholfield yard operates at 18% with a small but focused string. The form string 3-4144 shows a consistent recent pattern of hitting the frame, and while running off a mark 7lb above last win is a concern, the weight advantage over Handlethekettle (11-1) and American Sniper (11-2) partially compensates. The 5-year-old's age trajectory is also the most progressive in a field of older rivals. Each-way alternative: Handlethekettle. Main danger: Handlethekettle — Handlethekettle (SR 129, 9/2) is the highest-rated horse in the field, has a GoingFit:+ for today's good ground, and Jamie Snowden's 25% career strike rate is elite — despite the 411-day absence, the form before layoff showed a win and two places at this class, and a 7% drift is minimal given the fitness concern.
Full result
Winner: American Sniper (IRE) at SP 9/4. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.
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1
American Sniper Fox #3 11/2
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2
Soul Icon 11/1
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3
Kitty Foyle 10/1
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4
Morning Mayhem Fox #1 7/2
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Zillow 25/1
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Handlethekettle Fox #2 11/2
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Letterston Lily Fox #4 5/2
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Supreme Yeats 8/1
Top 4 — how each finished
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1
Morning Mayhem 10/3 🏁 4TH
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2
Handlethekettle 9/2
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3
American Sniper 7/1 SP 9/4 🏆 WON
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4
Letterston Lily 3/1