← Honest Record · Pick Winner · Mr Fox
Huws Gray British Stallions EBF Fillies' Handicap Stakes
Mr Fox’s call
Wild Dahlia
SPECULATIVE Advised 5/2 Est. 32%
Mr Fox says
Wild Dahlia (SR:92, 5/2) is the highest-rated runner in the field and carries a favourable weight of 9-5, giving her a meaningful pounds advantage over rivals at comparable SR levels. The William Haggas / Cieren Fallon combination is elite — Haggas strikes at 21% and Fallon at 20% — and the market has responded with an 11% inward move, suggesting stable confidence. Her form of 3412-3 shows she ran a solid third on her last outing stepping up in class, and the tongue-tie (HG:t) applied here may be a deliberate upgrade to sharpen her focus. The class rise (ClassMv:↑1) is the one note of caution, but the SR lead and connections quality outweigh it. Each-way alternative: Polygram. Main danger: Polygram — Polygram (SR:89, 4/1) has steamed 10% in the market, is trained by an 18% striker in Tristan Davidson, and her form of 634212 shows a clear progression to a runner-up finish last time out at the same class — she's the most credible challenger at the price.
Full result
Winner: Polygram (GB) at SP 9/2. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.
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1
Polygram Fox #2 4/1
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2
Krissy 40/1
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3
Foxy Night Fox #4 9/2
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4
Second Fiddle 10/1
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5
Saxon Grace 6/1
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6
Wild Dahlia Fox #1 5/2
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7
Thankfully 16/1
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8
Porth Eilian Fox #3 5/1
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9
Sharona 150/1
Top 4 — how each finished
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4