← Honest Record · Pick Winner · Mr Fox
Comeragh Veterinary Kilmackthomas Handicap Hurdle
Mr Fox’s call
Mighty Berkshire
SPECULATIVE Advised 5/2 Est. 35%
Mr Fox says
Mighty Berkshire (SR:106, 5/2) is the highest-rated horse in a modest field and has steamed in 19% in the market — the most significant inward move of any runner — suggesting stable confidence is genuine. The amateur jockey Mr D L Queally rides for his father Declan Queally and posts a striking 39% strike rate from 36 career rides, indicating this is a tight connections operation that runs horses to win. GoingFit:+ confirms a proven record on good ground, the form string ends in '41' showing recent improvement, and despite carrying top-weight of 11-13, the SR advantage of 6 points over the next-best (Latopix SR:96) and 6 points over Tolka Row (SR:100) is meaningful at this level. The MarkMv:+7 is a concern — running off a mark 7lb higher than the last win — but the market has absorbed this and kept shortening, suggesting connections believe the horse is ahead of that revised mark. Each-way alternative: Latopix. Main danger: Tolka Row — Tolka Row (SR:100, 7/2) won last time out off a mark 6lb lower than today and carries GoingFit:+ confirmation, meaning a horse in form that has already shown it can win at this level represents the most credible threat, despite the 20% market drift which may reflect the penalty weight rather than any stable concern.
Full result
Winner: Moonlight Paradise (IRE) at SP 12/1. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.
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1
Moonlight Paradise 16/1
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2
Mighty Berkshire Fox #1 9/4
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3
Boston Beach 12/1
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4
Good World 28/1
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5
Tullyveery Lad 12/1
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6
Ray Gun 33/1
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7
Ryan's Son Fox #4 7/1
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8
Tolka Row Fox #3 7/2
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Jacko Star -
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Latopix Fox #2 7/2
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Hillstar Blues 14/1
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Diamond Secret -
Top 4 — how each finished
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1
Mighty Berkshire 5/2 🥈 2ND
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2
Latopix 7/2
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3
Tolka Row 7/2 8TH
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4
Ryan's Son 17/2 7TH