← Honest Record · Pick Winner · Mr Fox
Heineken 0% Handicap Stakes
Mr Fox’s call
Moulin Booj
SPECULATIVE Advised 11/4 Est. 30%
Mr Fox says
Moulin Booj (SR 90, 11/4) is the highest-rated horse in the field and leads on SR by a clear margin over Emerald Harmony (SR 89) and Accrual (SR 85). Carrying 10-1 is a weight burden but the market has shorthened 10% since opening, confirming money is coming in, and Daniel Tudhope (16% strike rate, 836 runners) is an upgrade in quality. Course form of W1P2 at Thirsk is a meaningful edge, and while GoingFit shows '-' on good ground, a quick turnaround of just 3 days from last run suggests connections are confident the horse is at peak fitness right now. The form string 632521 shows consistent improvement, with the '1' last time out the most recent data point. Each-way alternative: Emerald Harmony. Main danger: Emerald Harmony — Emerald Harmony (SR 89, 11/2) has shortened 13% in the market — the strongest steam in the field — carries GoingFit:+ on today's good ground, has course form (W1P1), and as the Midgley yard's clear number-one runner (most market support, best jockey booking with David Nolan) it represents a genuine threat at a price.
Full result
Winner: Equity Law (GB) at SP 14/1. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.
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1
Equity Law 10/1
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2
Managing Director Fox #4 4/1
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3
Accrual Fox #3 7/2
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4
Rock Of England 14/1
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5
Moulin Booj Fox #1 9/4
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6
Emerald Harmony Fox #2 5/1
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7
Hover On The Wind 25/1
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8
Winchurch 20/1
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9
Our Absent Friends 33/1
Top 4 — how each finished
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1
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2
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3
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4