← Honest Record · Pick Winner · Mr Fox
Cayenne Electric At Porsche Centre Hull Handicap Stakes
Mr Fox’s call
Ciao Capo
SPECULATIVE Advised 7/4 SP 2/1F Est. 38%
Mr Fox says
Ciao Capo (SR:77, 7/4) is the clear class standout in this field — the next best SR is 64 (Sunny Orange), a 13-point gap that is substantial at this level. The market has backed that assessment with a 25% inward move to 7/4, and the horse carries a relatively manageable 9-8. Crucially, the horse holds both DistFit:+ and GoingFit:+ for today's 1m1f207y on good-to-firm, has a course win and place to its name (Course:W1P1 at Beverley), and drops a class (ClassMv:↓1) from its last outing. The form string 1-4116 shows the 4 was in a different season, with three finishes of 1-1-6 most recently — the 6 may reflect the tougher class it has now stepped back from. Fahey/Orr is a solid combination and at 7/4 the market pricing is justified by the convergence of signals. Each-way alternative: Sunny Orange. Main danger: Kitsune Power — Kitsune Power (SR:61) holds GoingFit:+ and DistFit:+ at this course and trip, ran a pleasing 3 last time on the same going, and David Allan's booking over Fentiman signals Easterby views this as the yard's primary runner — if Ciao Capo finds the class drop insufficient to offset the +7 mark rise, Kitsune Power is best placed to capitalise.
Full result
Winner: Ciao Capo (IRE) at SP 2/1F. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.
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1
Ciao Capo Fox #1 13/8
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2
Bearwith 7/1
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3
Dr Rio 11/1
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4
Kitsune Power Fox #3 6/1
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5
Sunny Orange Fox #2 6/1
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6
No Knee Never 10/1
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7
Princess Niyla 6/1
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8
Langton Wold 33/1
Top 4 — how each finished
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1
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2
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3