← Honest Record · Pick Winner · Mr Fox
Colin Parker Raceday 1st Nov Nursery Handicap Stakes
Mr Fox’s call
Concert Pitch
MEDIUM Advised 7/2 Est. 32%
Mr Fox says
Concert Pitch leads the field on SR (80) and carries a very manageable 8-13 — a full pound less than Influencer Man who is rated 3lb inferior. The 24% market shortening is the strongest steaming signal in the race and reflects genuine confidence from connections. DistFit:+ confirms proven ability at 5f, and the form string 3-2-6-6-2-2 shows consistent competitive placing even if wins have been elusive — in a Class 5 nursery with this field, that consistency at the top of the ability range is enough. Trainer Brian Ellison's Carlisle record and the jockey booking of Ben Robinson is a familiar northern partnership. Each-way alternative: Influencer Man. Main danger: Influencer Man — Influencer Man (SR:77, 15/8) has steamed in 19% and drops a class, carrying just 9-9 — the market is clearly keen on it and the SR is second only to Concert Pitch, making it the most credible threat to the selection.
Full result
Winner: Influencer Man (IRE) at SP 2/1F. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.
-
1
Influencer Man Fox #2 5/2
-
2
Concert Pitch Fox #1 5/2
-
3
Lauralynn 7/1
-
4
Excessive 20/1
-
5
Onslaught Fox #4 13/2
-
6
Jazz Queen 11/2
-
7
Beauty For Love Fox #3 7/1
Top 4 — how each finished
-
1
-
2
-
3
-
4