← Honest Record · Pick Winner · Mr Fox
Cummins Homevalue Hardware Handicap Hurdle
Mr Fox’s call
Chemdawg
MEDIUM Advised 7/2 Est. 28%
Mr Fox says
Chemdawg (SR:90, 7/2) shares the joint-top SR in the field alongside Ripsnorter and Koeur A Prendre, but carries a featherweight 10-1 — the lightest in the race — giving him a substantial weight advantage over rivals rated similarly or lower. His recent form of PP21-2 shows a genuine revival: a win followed by a close second last time out, and the market has shortened 11% since opening, confirming professional support. The tongue-tie and blinkers combination (HG:tb) suggests connections are taking this seriously, and Phillip Enright provides a competent jockey booking with meaningful experience. While MarkMv:+8 means he's running off a mark 8lb higher than his last win, the weight-for-age advantage at 10-1 versus rivals carrying 11st+ largely neutralises that concern. Each-way alternative: Koeur A Prendre. Main danger: Koeur A Prendre — Koeur A Prendre (SR:93, 10/3) is joint-top of the SR rankings, has shown consistent placed form (770-22) with two consecutive seconds, and despite a 10% market drift carries only 10-10 — just 9lb more than Chemdawg — making the weight concession manageable if his form trajectory continues upward.
Full result
Winner: Koeur A Prendre (FR) at SP 100/30. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.
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1
Koeur A Prendre Fox #2 7/2
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2
Fremantle Doctor 22/1
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3
Go To Town 6/1
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4
Houndsworth 16/1
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5
Chemdawg Fox #1 3/1
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6
Theanniversary Man 8/1
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7
Le Diablo 14/1
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8
Ripsnorter Fox #3 10/1
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9
Secret Rock 18/1
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10
Atlantic Gamble 17/2
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11
Figero 22/1
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12
Long Gone Fox #4 14/1
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13
Brave Crogha 20/1
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14
Final Decision 80/1
Top 4 — how each finished
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1
Chemdawg 7/2 5TH
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2
Koeur A Prendre 10/3 SP 100/30 🏆 WON
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3
Ripsnorter 9/1 8TH
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4
Long Gone 12/1 12TH