← Honest Record · Pick Winner · Mr Fox
Alan Dunlop, 90th Birthday Flat Race
Mr Fox’s call
Culldoo
MEDIUM Advised 5/6 Est. 38%
Mr Fox says
Culldoo (SR:95, 5/6) holds the joint-highest SR in the field alongside Martymill, but crucially carries 11-4 versus Martymill's 12-0 — a meaningful 10lb weight advantage that matters greatly over a stamina-sapping 2m2f185y on good ground. The Mullins yard operates at 21% strike rate from 1264 runners and Patrick Mullins aboard adds further confidence with a 29% strike rate from 177 rides — comfortably the most formidable connections in the race. As a 4-year-old point-to-point type with just one run recorded (a third), there is obvious upside as the most unexposed runner, and the market has backed it into 5/6 favouritism for good reason. The weight-plus-connections combination is the decisive edge in a weak flat race card at Downpatrick. Each-way alternative: Tommy's Ticket. Main danger: Martymill — Martymill (SR:94) matches Culldoo on raw ability and has significantly more racecourse experience (Form:46-626) at the right trip type, and while the 6% drift is a mild negative, the SR parity means it cannot be entirely dismissed at 9/2.
Full result
Winner: Martymill (IRE) at SP 15/8. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.
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1
Martymill Fox #2 9/2
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2
Culldoo Fox #1 10/11
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3
Loves A Laugh 7/1
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4
Tommy's Ticket Fox #3 7/1
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5
Vargas 11/2
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6
Greenmeansgo 50/1
Top 4 — how each finished
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1
Culldoo 5/6 🥈 2ND
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2
Martymill 9/2 SP 15/8 🏆 WON
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3
Tommy's Ticket 17/2 🏁 4TH