← Honest Record · Pick Winner · Mr Fox
Knight Frank Woodbridge EBF Restricted Novice Stakes (For Horses In Bands B, C And D) (EBF Restricted Race Qualifier) (GBB Race)
Mr Fox’s call
Fast Performer
MEDIUM Advised evn Est. 38%
Mr Fox says
Fast Performer (SR:132, evens) is the only runner with actual racecourse experience, having finished second on debut — a highly encouraging outcome for a William Haggas two-year-old stepping up in class. The 15% market shortening is the standout signal in this field: informed money is piling in, and Haggas (21% strike rate from 1,043 runners) is one of the shrewdest handlers of juvenile improvers. Cieren Fallon (20% career strike rate) is a high-calibre booking that aligns with a yard running its fancied runner. Despite the class rise (↑1), the combination of race experience, elite training, and aggressive market move makes this a compelling case that the form has translated well in homework. Each-way alternative: Crown And Two. Main danger: Crown And Two — Crown And Two carries the highest SR in the field at 152 — well clear of the field on raw ability — and despite a 9% market drift, Billy Loughnane's 18% career strike rate on 1,694 rides is a top-tier booking that suggests Tom Clover's team believe this debut runner has the engine to win outright on first appearance.
Full result
Winner: Crown And Two (GB) at SP 7/2. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.
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1
Crown And Two Fox #2 9/4
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2
Zephyra 18/1
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3
Hello You Ten Fox #3 11/1
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4
Fast Performer Fox #1 evn
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5
Water Angel 33/1
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6
Kaboom 12/1
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7
Scienza 16/1
Top 4 — how each finished
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1
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2
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3