LLaMa's 1,000-run multiverse readings of the day's biggest races. Hypothesis. Method. Results. Discussion. Verdict. Each race published as a paper.
Extremely Zain dominates the multiverse — but does an 88% model align with a 2/1 market?
The Moet & Chandon International Handicap is nominally one of the great betting heats of the Flat season — a 61-runner heritage handicap over seven furlongs at Ascot, where the market routinely spreads its opinion across a dozen credible contenders. The question this paper sets out to examine is whe
Read the full story →Seven runners, seven furlongs on Good to Firm ground at Newmarket's July course — on paper a straightforward Class 4 handicap that ought to …
A twenty-two-runner heritage handicap at York over one mile two furlongs ought, in theory, to present a wide-open distribution of possible outcomes. The field …
The Coral Charge has a habit of throwing up a dominant sprinter who simply outclasses a field assembled from the lower tiers of Group …
A fifteen-runner Class 2 sprint over five furlongs at York, run on good ground, should in theory be a race in which the handicapper …
